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Convective Outlooks
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Today's Convective Outlook
Today's Convective Outlook
Tomorrow's Convective Outlook
Tomorrow's Convective Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
» From the Storm Prediction Center
SPC - No watches are valid as of Wed Oct 22 06:06:01 UTC 2014
No watches are valid as of Wed Oct 22 06:06:01 UTC 2014.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Wed Oct 22 06:06:01 UTC 2014
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Oct 22 06:06:01 UTC 2014.

SPC Oct 22, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014 VALID 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY PARTICULARLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL NORTHEAST...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...AND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...SYNOPSIS... A PROGRESSIVE BELT OF WESTERLIES WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS TO THE WEST OF A CLOSED CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST SEABOARD. THE MAIN CORRIDOR OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST WILL BE INFLUENCED BY AN EASTWARD-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS INCLUDING SOUTH FL...THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST...AND THE COASTAL NORTHEAST STATES WHERE A MODESTLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WILL GRAZE COASTAL NEW ENGLAND. ...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO UPPER MIDWEST... DPVA/WARM ADVECTION PRECEDING THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AS FAR NORTHEAST AS THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MODESTLY BUOYANT WARM SECTOR ADJACENT TO THE ADVANCING FRONT...OR POSSIBLY ACROSS EASTERN CO IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR/LIMITED MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGEST THAT SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE NOT CURRENTLY WARRANTED. ..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 10/22/2014 Read more

SPC Oct 22, 2014 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1204 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014 VALID 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... LOW CHANCES FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE COUNTRY. ...SYNOPSIS... A DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE WILL MOVE LITTLE THURSDAY OFF THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES. MEANWHILE FARTHER W...A BROAD BELT OF PREDOMINATELY STRONG WLY MID-UPPER FLOW OVER THE NWRN QUARTER OF THE CONUS WILL SPILL EWD INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS STATES. A COLD FRONT INITIALLY OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST ARCING SWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE DURING THE DAY AS WEAK LEE TROUGHING OCCURS FARTHER W IN THE WRN DAKOTAS SWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. SHOWERS AND A FEW WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY INVOF THE FRONT FROM THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY SWWD INTO ERN OK. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FL KEYS/SRN FL PENINSULA...W-CNTRL TX...AND PERHAPS PARTS OF THE NRN ROCKIES. ..SMITH.. 10/22/2014 Read more

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