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Convective Outlooks
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» From the Storm Prediction Center
SPC - No watches are valid as of Tue Dec 23 01:05:01 UTC 2014
No watches are valid as of Tue Dec 23 01:05:01 UTC 2014.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Tue Dec 23 01:05:01 UTC 2014
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Dec 23 01:05:01 UTC 2014.

SPC Dec 23, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0633 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014 VALID 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. ...CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION TONIGHT... IN THE WAKE OF AN EARLIER DISTURBANCE WHICH PRODUCED THUNDERSTORMS OVER AL AND GA...LARGER-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT HAS WEAKENED ACROSS THE REGION WITH 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOWING RELATIVELY DRY AIR ALOFT WITH POOR LAPSE RATES. ONE EXCEPTION WAS ACROSS SERN LA WHERE THE NEW ORLEANS SOUNDING SHOWED MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THETA-E OVERALL. OVERNIGHT...HEIGHT TENDENCIES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY NEUTRAL ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION BUT LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK AND STRENGTHEN WHICH WILL RESULT IN A MOISTENING AND DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WOULD APPEAR TO BE ACROSS MUCH OF SERN LA AND PERHAPS FAR SRN MS AND AL CLOSE TO 12Z. WHILE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST BEYOND 12Z TUE...THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER TX AS WELL AS MOISTENING AND SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY STILL RESULT IN AN ISOLATED/WEAK TORNADO. ..JEWELL.. 12/23/2014 Read more

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